Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.001037 0.001180 0.001324 0.001478 0.001638 0.001800 0.001975
2025-12-28 0.000796 0.001000 0.001212 0.001446 0.001695 0.001951 0.002232
2026-01-04 0.000631 0.000880 0.001147 0.001450 0.001778 0.002120 0.002500
2026-01-11 0.000484 0.000764 0.001075 0.001435 0.001833 0.002254 0.002727
2026-01-18 0.000366 0.000666 0.001013 0.001425 0.001887 0.002381 0.002941
2026-01-25 0.000240 0.000543 0.000911 0.001361 0.001876 0.002432 0.003069
2026-02-01 0.000158 0.000459 0.000848 0.001336 0.001902 0.002521 0.003235
2026-02-08 0.000103 0.000403 0.000812 0.001338 0.001957 0.002638 0.003428
2026-02-15 0.000063 0.000359 0.000789 0.001352 0.002022 0.002765 0.003630
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000327 0.000777 0.001377 0.002098 0.002902 0.003841
2026-03-01 0.000010 0.000279 0.000738 0.001367 0.002131 0.002988 0.003995
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000226 0.000687 0.001338 0.002140 0.003045 0.004114
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000191 0.000670 0.001367 0.002235 0.003222 0.004390
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000133 0.000610 0.001338 0.002261 0.003320 0.004582
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000096 0.000577 0.001342 0.002326 0.003465 0.004826
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000059 0.000533 0.001329 0.002369 0.003582 0.005038
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000031 0.000493 0.001319 0.002415 0.003700 0.005251
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000004 0.000422 0.001257 0.002392 0.003738 0.005370
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000379 0.001233 0.002415 0.003826 0.005546
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000355 0.001235 0.002470 0.003952 0.005763
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000339 0.001249 0.002538 0.004093 0.005996
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000330 0.001273 0.002620 0.004249 0.006246
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000303 0.001263 0.002656 0.004348 0.006429